Just shy of five years ago, they collided and their careers went in very different directions for a time. Fate could have played out differently.

Kiko Martinez thought he did enough to win in 2017 at the First Direct Arena in Leeds. Leeds native Josh Warrington got the nod and moved on within a couple fights to win his first major title.

What looked like a crossroads fight at the time has turned out to be an intersection. 2021 happened for both men and now it’s Martinez on the up and Warrington scrambling to hang on. Martinez won the IBF belt last year from Kid Galahad, a belt Warrington vacated before a surprise loss to a then-unheralded and widely unranked Mauricio Lara. Martinez defends his fresh honors Saturday (DAZN, 3 PM EST) in a rematch set to take place at the same location of the first clash with Warrington.

Let’s get into it. 

Stats and Stakes

Kiko Martinez

Age: 36

Titles: IBF Featherweight (2021-Present, 1st Defense)

Previous Titles: IBF Jr. Featherweight (2013-14, 2 Defenses)

Height: 5’5   

Weight: 125 ¼ lbs.

Stance: Orthodox

Hails from: Alicante, Comunidad Valenciana, Spain 

Record: 43-10-2, 30 KO, 4 KOBY

Press Rankings: #5 (TBRB), #6 (Ring), #7 (ESPN), #10 (BoxRec)

Record in Major Title Fights: 4-3, 4 KO, 2 KOBY (4-4, 4 KO, 3 KOBY including WBA sub-title fights)

Last Five Opponents: 105-31-2 (.768)

Notable Outcomes, TBRB/Ring Rated Foes: Bernard Dunne TKO1; Rendall Munroe L12; Carl Frampton TKO by 9, L12; Jhonatan Romero TKO6; Jeffrey Mathebula KO9; Scott Quigg TKO by 6; Leo Santa Cruz TKO by 5; Gary Russell TKO by 5; Kid Galahad TKO6

Additional Current/Former Titlists Faced: Hozumi Hasegawa TKO7; Josh Warrington L12

Vs.

Josh Warrington

Age: 31

Titles: None

Previous Titles: IBF Featherweight (2018-20, 3 Defenses) 

Height: 5’7   

Weight: 125 ½ lbs.

Stance: Orthodox

Hails from: Leeds, Yorkshire, United Kingdom

Record: 30-1-1, 7 KO, 1 KOBY

Press Rankings: #3 (ESPN), #5 (Ring), #7 (TBRB), #9 (BoxRec) 

Record in Major Title Fights: 4-0, 1 KO

Last Five Opponents: 132-8-1 (.940)

Notable Outcomes, TBRB and/or Ring Rated Foes: Lee Selby SD12; Carl Frampton UD12; Kid Galahad SD12; Mauricio Lara TD2

Additional Current/Former Titlists Faced: Kiko Martinez MD12 

The Pick: Yes, Martinez had a strong performance in the first Warrington fight and the win over Galahad. Yes, Warrington is coming off the struggles against Lara in both a loss and what appeared to be another one coming before a cut shortened affair. There are still more reasons to like Warrington in this fight assuming he’s not just a case of lost punch resistance. Warrington is a more active offensive fighter, a little quicker, and if the fight is close it appeared to matter the first time and could here. Home court is a real thing. Warrington doesn’t score a lot of stoppages here but the younger man is fighting for his career here and that’s extra motivation. Martinez has a motivation too. Martinez easily could have had the win the first time and has the ease of knowing he’s not supposed to be in the champion’s seat anymore at this stage. He has the power to win but it feels like lightning already struck for the veteran. The pick is Warrington by competitive, perhaps close, decision.  

Additional Weekend Pick

Tim Tszyu Dec. Terrell Gausha             

Rold Picks 2022: 11-4

Cliff Rold is the Managing Editor of BoxingScene, a founding member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board, a member of the International Boxing Research Organization, and a member of the Boxing Writers Association of America.  He can be reached at roldboxing@hotmail.com